Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.005402 0.005706 0.006021 0.006373 0.006754 0.007156 0.007614
2025-12-28 0.004900 0.005346 0.005828 0.006393 0.007039 0.007760 0.008629
2026-01-04 0.004625 0.005156 0.005750 0.006470 0.007325 0.008319 0.009574
2026-01-11 0.004351 0.004930 0.005594 0.006420 0.007432 0.008647 0.010242
2026-01-18 0.004147 0.004765 0.005488 0.006408 0.007565 0.008996 0.010940
2026-01-25 0.003952 0.004594 0.005359 0.006350 0.007627 0.009247 0.011517
2026-02-01 0.003873 0.004555 0.005383 0.006479 0.007924 0.009810 0.012544
2026-02-08 0.003732 0.004432 0.005293 0.006451 0.008009 0.010091 0.013196
2026-02-15 0.003616 0.004332 0.005225 0.006446 0.008119 0.010405 0.013912
2026-02-22 0.003475 0.004194 0.005099 0.006354 0.008101 0.010534 0.014359
2026-03-01 0.003349 0.004069 0.004986 0.006272 0.008089 0.010667 0.014815
2026-03-08 0.003263 0.003993 0.004932 0.006266 0.008181 0.010952 0.015527
2026-03-15 0.003106 0.003818 0.004741 0.006064 0.007984 0.010799 0.015530
2026-03-22 0.003040 0.003763 0.004709 0.006083 0.008109 0.011140 0.016370
2026-03-29 0.002998 0.003737 0.004715 0.006154 0.008313 0.011612 0.017474
2026-04-05 0.002918 0.003657 0.004643 0.006109 0.008336 0.011798 0.018093
2026-04-12 0.002854 0.003596 0.004595 0.006097 0.008409 0.012066 0.018882
2026-04-19 0.002780 0.003520 0.004523 0.006043 0.008414 0.012221 0.019472
2026-04-26 0.002766 0.003525 0.004565 0.006163 0.008696 0.012858 0.021042
2026-05-03 0.002707 0.003466 0.004514 0.006138 0.008743 0.013092 0.021847
2026-05-10 0.002657 0.003418 0.004477 0.006132 0.008822 0.013386 0.022802
2026-05-17 0.002586 0.003339 0.004390 0.006047 0.008762 0.013428 0.023235
2026-05-24 0.002521 0.003266 0.004312 0.005970 0.008714 0.013488 0.023709